The likelihood of a new tropical depression or storm from a system bound for the Caribbean this week continues to grow, according to the National Hurricane Center. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Don continues to seethe as it heads into the North Atlantic.
As for the potential system further south, the NHC said in its 8am Tropical Bulletin that a small area of low pressure, located about halfway between the Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles, continues to show signs of organization.
There is a high probability that a tropical depression will form over the tropical Atlantic next week. For more information visit https://t.co/tW4KeGe9uJ. pic.twitter.com/ww7yTYQOHH
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) July 21, 2023
“While environmental conditions are only marginally favorable, some additional gradual development is expected and this system is likely to turn into a tropical depression by early next week as it moves west across the tropical Atlantic,” forecasters said.
The NHC increased the chance of it forming to 50% in the next two days and 70% in the next seven.
If she became a named system, she would become Tropical Storm Emily.
Cone of uncertainty for Tropical Storm Don as of 05:00 Saturday, July 22, 2023 (NHC)
Tropical Storm Don is still holding, but is not threatening to touch down.
The storm, which formed more than a week ago as a subtropical storm, continues in a looped path and is now heading into the North Atlantic, according to an NHC report released at 5 am.
The center of the system is currently about 605 miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland, moving northwest at 14 mph with maximum sustained winds that have intensified to 60 mph with stronger gusts. Tropical storm-force winds extend up to 60 miles.
“The turn to the north is expected later today, and on Sunday – to the northeast,” forecasters said. “Today, some strengthening is possible. However, the easing is forecast to start tonight or Sunday morning.”
The NHC forecasts its projected path further north and then back east as it turns into a post-tropical cyclone by Sunday evening.
It is the fourth named storm of the season after a busy June when three tropical storms formed.
The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season will run from June 1 to November. thirty.