Chances of forming a tropical storm or depression have increased as the tropical wave moves toward the Caribbean Sea as Tropical Storm Don began its journey into the North Atlantic, according to the National Hurricane Center.
In their 2 a.m. tropical forecast, forecasters said the Caribbean system is a low-pressure area several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands interacting with a tropical wave that emerged off the coast of Africa earlier this week.
The oblong region is generating showers and thunderstorms over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic and is predicted to be off the Leeward Islands by next week.
July 20, 20:00 EDT. We are observing a low pressure area located over the central tropical Atlantic in the Intertropical Convergence Zone. This system has a low chance (10% 2 days, 30% 7 days) of becoming a tropical cyclone by early next week.
Appearance: https://t.co/DboWSR44Dt pic.twitter.com/m5aLrsGJPi
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) July 20, 2023
“While environmental conditions appear marginal due to dry air in the north, some slow development of this system is possible until early next week as it moves west across the tropical central Atlantic,” the NHC said in a statement.
Forecasters give it a 10 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression or storm within the next two days and a 30 percent chance of forming within the next seven days.
If she became a named system, she would become Tropical Storm Emily.
Don Tropical Storm Cone as of 05:00 Friday, July 21, 2023 (NHC)
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Don continues to rage as it moves into the North Atlantic as predicted.
As of 5 a.m., the NHC reported that the storm was 1,045 miles west of the Azores, moving west-northwest at 9 mph with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and stronger gusts. Tropical storm-force winds extend up to 60 miles.
“A turn to the northwest and then north is predicted over the weekend,” forecasters said. “In the next couple of days, a slight change in numbers is predicted. The easing is predicted to start later this weekend.”
The system poses no threat to the land, according to a five-day forecast, and is expected to lose its tropical characteristics by Monday as it weakens to a depression.
The storm began last Friday as Subtropical Storm Don, then lost strength to become Subtropical Depression Don, then found a tighter circulation as it moved south to become Tropical Depression Don this week and gained enough strength during Tuesday to become “Tropical Storm Don”.
It is the fourth named storm of the season after a busy June when three tropical storms formed.
The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season will run from June 1 to November. thirty.